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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
2:08
2:52 in
SIT
Down @ 27¢ · $4.86
v6 hybrid
Order not sent: CLOB rejected v2 FAK (403): {"error":"Trading restricted in your region, please refer to available regions - https://docs.polymarket.com/developers/CLOB/geoblock"}
BTC vs open
69,655.33 -5.0 bps
open 69,690.20 · coinbase
p(Up) / p(Down)
38% / 62%
Lean / momentum
Down · flat
Last action
SIT · Blown dog. BTC -9.2 bp · Up 83¢ / Down 18¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
Upask 74¢p 38%edge -36¢
Downask 27¢p 62%edge +35¢
tape live
Up
ask 74¢ · p 38% · γ 51¢
Asks
- 74¢86.2
- 75¢206.0
- 76¢290.3
- 77¢653.0
- 78¢1035.1
- 79¢281.0
Bids
- 73¢269.9
- 72¢197.0
- 71¢194.0
- 70¢307.4
- 69¢198.2
- 68¢399.4
Down
ask 27¢ · p 62% · γ 50¢
Asks
- 27¢269.9
- 28¢197.0
- 29¢194.0
- 30¢307.4
- 31¢198.2
- 32¢399.4
Bids
- 26¢86.2
- 25¢206.0
- 24¢290.3
- 23¢653.0
- 22¢1035.1
- 21¢281.0
Tape
Connected- SITBlown dog. BTC -9.2 bp · Up 83¢ / Down 18¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
- SITDown ask 58¢ is above 55¢. Not a gift. BTC -9.0 bp · Up 43¢ / Down 58¢
- SITHYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
- SITORACLE · Oracle sees Down but 23¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢
- SITGENESIS · No high-conviction print. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.
- SITHYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
- SITORACLE · Oracle sees Down but 24¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢
- SITGENESIS · No high-conviction print. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.